Acres Estate Agents in the West Midlands

Over the past 12 months, interest rates have played a pivotal role in shaping the UK property market. Following an unprecedented period of rapid increases throughout 2022 and early 2023, the Bank of England has since adopted a more cautious and stabilising approach in response to changing inflationary pressures and economic uncertainty. As we move through the second half of 2025, both homeowners and investors are keenly watching for any signals about the direction of monetary policy and what it might mean for the housing sector.

Where Are Interest Rates Now?

As of July 2025, the Bank of England base rate sits at 4.25%, unchanged since early spring. After peaking at 5.25% in late 2023, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) began gradually trimming the rate as inflation showed signs of slowing. The steady decline in headline inflation—down from 10.1% in March 2023 to around 3.2% today—has reduced the urgency for aggressive tightening, allowing the Bank to begin cautiously easing the pressure.

Although rates remain historically high compared to the ultra-low levels seen in the 2010s, stability in recent months has brought a level of predictability back to the housing and mortgage markets.

The Last 12 Months: Cooling and Adjustment

The sharp rise in interest rates from late 2022 into mid-2023 had an immediate and dramatic effect on the housing market. Mortgage affordability was stretched, borrowing costs surged, and buyer sentiment cooled. Lenders responded by tightening affordability checks, while buyers recalibrated their budgets. As a result, house price growth slowed significantly and, in some regions, declined modestly.

In areas such as Four Oaks, Sutton Coldfield and parts of North Birmingham generally, where property values and average mortgages are higher, the impact was particularly noticeable. Many would-be buyers adopted a “wait and see” approach, while some existing homeowners faced difficult remortgage scenarios as fixed-rate deals expired and monthly repayments increased.

However, by early 2024, the market began to show signs of recalibration. Sellers became more realistic on pricing, demand stabilised, and mortgage lenders introduced more competitive products, particularly for five-year fixes. While transaction volumes remained below the five-year average, the sense of panic that characterised late 2022 had dissipated.

The Current Mood in the Market

Now, midway through 2025, confidence is returning—albeit cautiously. Buyers and sellers are becoming more accustomed to a “new normal” in mortgage rates, with many lenders now offering five-year fixed deals in the 4.5–4.75% range, and some dipping below 4% for those with larger deposits.

Mortgage advice Oct 24 USE

Mortgage Rates:

These vary depending on factors like loan-to-value ratio, term, and whether the rate is fixed or variable. For example, a 2-year fixed rate mortgage with a 75% LTV is around 4.34%, while a 5-year fixed rate with the same LTV is about 4.38%

This period of relative rate stability has encouraged both first-time buyers and existing homeowners to re-engage with the market. Here at Acres this Spring and early Summer we have seen increased viewing numbers and sales, with lenders are seeing improved levels of mortgage approvals compared to this time last year. While the market remains harder there is renewed movement and signs of recovery.

The Next 12 Months: What Lies Ahead?

The key question now is: where do rates go from here?

Market analysts are broadly expecting further, gradual base rate reductions over the next 12 months—provided inflation continues to decline and wage growth remains contained. Some forecasts suggest the base rate could fall to 4.0% or even 3.75% by mid-2026, depending on economic performance and global trends.

Such a move would be welcomed by borrowers and could help to stimulate more activity in the housing market, particularly among first-time buyers. However, policymakers remain cautious. The Bank of England has been clear that any loosening of monetary policy will be measured, to avoid reigniting inflationary pressures or creating instability in the financial system.

Additionally, geopolitical factors—including wages increases, global trade disruptions, and energy markets—may yet play a role in shaping economic policy and, by extension, interest rates.

Implications for the Property Market

If rates begin to fall incrementally in 2026, the property market is likely to respond positively. We could see a modest rise in house prices, particularly in more affordable regions where affordability metrics are more favourable. Increased mortgage availability and improved sentiment could bring more stock to the market, improving supply-demand balance.

That said, we’re unlikely to return to the heady price growth of the early pandemic years. What we can expect is a more sustainable, steady market—driven by real demand, realistic pricing, and better-aligned borrowing costs.

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Final Thoughts

Interest rates remain a vital factor in the health of the property market. After 18 months of volatility, the outlook is becoming clearer, though challenges remain. For buyers, sellers, and investors alike, the next 12 months offer an opportunity to engage with a market that is stabilising, supported by more predictable economic conditions and a cautious but constructive monetary policy environment.

Staying informed—and seeking advice from trusted mortgage and property professionals—will be essential as we move into what appears to be a calmer, more balanced phase for housing.

Want more tips and advice? We love being able to help! Acres Estate Agents are your local, family owned and run property experts for the Sutton Coldfield and Great Barr areas. Call your local office on the numbers below or email This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. to find out how we can help you.

Want to check how much your home is worth? You can get an Instant Valuation here.  

If you would like to discuss selling your home, please get in touch with us This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. or call any of our busy, helpful teams/offices:

Four Oaks                              0121 323 3088

Sutton Coldfield                    0121 321 2101

Walmley                                 0121 313 2888

Great Barr                              0121 358 6222

Lettings                                  0121 312 4997

Mortgages                             0121 387 1616

Thank you for reading this article, and your interest in Acres and our property for sale. 

Nigel & Jayne  Deekes – Acres Partners

The Bank of England (BoE) has announced it will reduce the Base Rate to 4% this month ( 7.8.25)  a reduction of 0.25% - the third this year.

Over the past twelve months, the property market has been shaped by one factor more than any other: interest rates. Rising costs of borrowing have influenced buyer confidence, affected affordability, and in many cases slowed transactions. However, after a prolonged period of increases, the tide is finally turning. Rates have begun to ease, and while the reductions are cautious rather than dramatic, they are providing much-needed relief for homeowners and prospective buyers alike.

This change marks a shift in tone. Where once the conversation was dominated by concerns over escalating monthly repayments and tightening affordability, today we are starting to see renewed optimism. But what do these changes really mean, both now and over the next two years?

A YEAR OF TRANSITION

Over the last year, central banks gradually adjusted their approach. Having raised rates to combat inflation, they are now adopting a more balanced stance. Inflation has cooled from its peaks, and with that cooling comes the ability to soften the burden on households.

As a result, mortgage rates have edged downwards. This does not mean a return to the ultra-low levels of the early 2020s, when borrowing costs dipped to historic lows. Instead, what we are seeing is a move away from the painful highs of 2022 and 2023, towards a more sustainable middle ground.

For homeowners, the effect is tangible. Monthly repayments for those remortgaging today are already more manageable than they were even six months ago. For buyers, lenders are showing slightly greater flexibility, meaning mortgage approvals are becoming a touch more accessible.

Locally, this has translated into renewed movement in areas such as the general Sutton Coldfield and suburbs areas asl well as Great Barr, where family homes are once again drawing stronger levels of enquiry. Similarly, Four Oaks and Little Aston have seen renewed interest from upsizers, with larger detached properties becoming more attainable as borrowing costs ease.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR AFFORDABILITY?

The direct impact of falling interest rates is improved affordability. For example:

A £250,000 mortgage rate a couple of years ago 6% over 25 years equates to a monthly repayment of around £1,610.

Reduce that rate to 4% and the repayment drops to around £1,320.

That £290 saving per month adds up to nearly £3,500 per year – a game-changer for many households.

You can check the current average mortgage rates for different terms and deposit sizes here.

For first-time buyers in particular, this shift can make the difference between passing or failing a lender’s affordability check. For families looking to upsize, the improved figures bring larger homes within reach.

THE OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT TWO YEARS

Analysts broadly agree that we are unlikely to see a return to the aggressive rate hikes of the past couple of years. Central banks are expected to take a cautious path, keeping rates at sustainable levels while monitoring inflation.

What this suggests is a period of relative stability. Rates may fluctuate within a narrow band, but the overall trend is expected to be flat to gently downward. This stability is crucial for the housing market, where confidence depends on predictability.

For buyers, the next two years represent an opportunity to secure finance with greater certainty. For sellers, a more confident buyer pool should translate into stronger demand and quicker transactions. For investors, stability offers reassurance, making property once again an attractive option compared to more volatile investments.

Here in Sutton Coldfield, stability also means consistency in demand. Popular family areas such as Walmley, Wylde Green, and Boldmere are expected to remain resilient, with properties well-placed to attract buyers who had previously been hesitant.

If you’re thinking of moving home soon, a good way to find out how much you could borrow is to use our mortgage calculator. You can get a personalised result by applying for a Mortgage in Principle This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. , which will take you one step closer to a mortgage offer.  

BUYER CONFIDENCE RETURNING

One of the most significant impacts of lower rates is psychological. During the peak of rising rates, many buyers chose to sit on the sidelines, uncertain of where the market was heading. Now, with the tide turning, those same buyers are returning.

Agents are already reporting more enquiries from first-time buyers who had paused their plans, as well as from upsizers who were waiting for conditions to improve. The sense that “the worst is behind us” is powerful in restoring momentum to the market.

In practical terms, this means more viewings, more offers, and more successful sales being agreed. For example, over recent weeks we have seen renewed demand for starter homes in Erdington and Kingstanding, as well as steady interest in executive homes across Four Oaks and Streetly.   You can read more about how lenders calculate affordability for mortgages here. 

SELLERS: A TIMELY OPPORTUNITY

For sellers, the current environment presents a valuable window. A more confident buyer pool means more viewings, stronger offers, and ultimately a higher chance of achieving a successful sale.

INVESTORS AND LANDLORDS

The easing of interest rates also has implications for the buy-to-let sector. Many landlords felt the squeeze during the period of rising rates, with higher mortgage costs eroding yields. Now, with borrowing costs softening, yields are beginning to recover.

For investors considering expanding their portfolios, the coming period could be an attractive entry point. Rental demand remains high, particularly in commuter-friendly areas such as Great Barr and Erdington, and with financing stabilising, the numbers are starting to stack up once again.

LONG-TERM PERSPECTIVE

While today’s interest rates are lower than recent highs, they remain above the record lows of a few years ago. This is an important point for both buyers and sellers.

The era of ultra-cheap borrowing may be behind us, but what we are seeing now is a new normal – one that is sustainable, balanced, and less vulnerable to shocks. In many ways, this is healthier for the property market, as it avoids the distortions created by artificially low rates while still keeping borrowing affordable.

IN SUMMARY

Looking ahead, stability is expected to be the theme of the next two years. For anyone considering a move – whether buying, selling, or investing – now may well be the right time to act.

At Acres, we are already seeing the benefits of renewed confidence across Sutton Coldfield, Four Oaks, Walmley, Boldmere, and Great Barr. If you are thinking about making your move, our team would be delighted to guide you through the process — whether that means arranging a free market valuation, discussing mortgage options, or helping you find your next home.

Please note: Acres Estate Agents are not authorised to give financial advice; the information and opinions provided in these articles are not intended to be financial advice and should not be relied upon when making financial decisions. Please seek advice from our specialist mortgage division https://acres-fs.co.uk/contact .  

Want more tips and advice? We love being able to help! Acres Estate Agents are your local, family owned and run property experts for the Sutton Coldfield and Great Barr areas. Call your local office on the numbers below or email This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. to find out how we can help you.

Want to check how much your home is worth? You can get an Instant Valuation here.  

If you would like to discuss selling your home, please get in touch with us This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. or call any of our busy, helpful teams/offices:

Four Oaks                              0121 323 3088

Sutton Coldfield                    0121 321 2101

Walmley                                 0121 313 2888

Great Barr                              0121 358 6222

Lettings                                  0121 312 4997

Mortgages                             0121 387 1616

Thank you for reading this article, and your interest in Acres and our property for sale. 

Nigel & Jayne  Deekes – Acres Partners

 

 

In the blink of an eye it is Autumn, the trees are full of beautiful reds and golds and the  first waft of coal fire smoke is in the air in later September.

As always we are taking calls from family buyers looking for larger homes, however there has been a real up swing, as expected. Clients like to buy in autumn, spring and early summer.

We find that buyers with children tend not to house hunt during the school holidays. After all, when the sun is shining, people are away, life is busy thus leaving little time for viewing homes.

It’s also worth remembering how stressful viewing a home can be, with children who just want to be playing / elsewhere. Instead, parents tend to wait until the children return to school, so they can view homes a little easier. But there is more to it than convenience alone; psychology of space can come into play too.

During the summer of course kids often spend much more time outdoors. Whilst their children are busy playing in the garden it’s easy for parents to feel their home is bigger than it is. As a result, ‘upsizers’ tend not to feel as squeezed for space in the warmer months.

But as the nights begin to draw in, the house begins to feel crowded, meaning parents once again are looking for a change and a larger home in which to grow.

House hunters searching in September and October tend to be keener to make an early decision. After all, everybody wants to settle in ready to start enjoying their new home in time for Christmas. In fact, ‘a quiet and settled Christmas’ can be a real driving factor. Buyers are more motivated than ever to get the deal done. Indeed Rightmove confirm an increase in traffic numbers to their website at this time of year.

With that in mind, let’s explore the reasons why selling in September is a great time.

  1. Motivated buyers

Buyers who start looking for a home in September are generally planning to be moved in by Christmas, particularly if they’re looking to host family and friends in their new home.

As a result, they see December as a self-imposed deadline, which can encourage them to make an offer quickly and also do their best to speed up the buying process.

 

  1. School admission deadline dates

Did you know, many school admission deadline dates fall towards the year end, with placements offered in the New Year. Schools are a key reason why many families move home. For these people, they need to be moved into the area in order to have the best possible chance of getting into their preferred school. These families tend to start house hunting as soon as the summer holidays end.

 

  1. Focus on those cosy features

September is a time when gardens become less of a must-have. Buyers still love them, but homes which struggle with outside space sell much better in September as buyers mindset turns towards cosy features such as open fires and wood-burning stoves. If you have one, make sure yours is lit for any photos & viewings !

 

  1. The kids are back at school

This is the most obvious reason of them all. Both home sellers and home buyers with families delay any moving plans because of the Summer holidays. Come September, the kids are back at school and they have much more free time. Houses become easier to keep tidy. Potential buyers appear more relaxed, many choosing to view when the kids are actually in school!

  1. You’re more likely to get a higher offer, or the asking price

Research shows that September is a strong month for buyers, with property searches very high, compared to November and December for example.

This means more potential buyers for your property, which in turn means more competition among buyers. When you consider the fact that there are more motivated buyers too, it can create a perfect storm for sellers. Indeed, with interest rates falling and anticipation of a busy autumn market this is more likely.